A new Cronkite/Eight poll released Tuesday shows Sen. John McCain (R-Phoenix) holds a ten-point lead over Democratic opponent U.S. Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) in Arizona. However, McCain still only currently garners 40 percent of the vote, while 30 percent goes to Obama and 28 percent remain undecided.
Those numbers are little changed from a Cronkite/Eight poll conducted in late June, which also showed McCain leading Obama by 10 points, only with 34 percent undecided.
As quoted in the Arizona Capitol Times, Bruce Merrill, the Arizona State University professor who directed the poll, said:
"McCain maintains his lead in Arizona mainly because evangelicals and conservative Democrats are disproportionately supporting him. The McCain campaign also appears to have successfully created a fairly strong anti-Obama sentiment in the state."
Merrill also said turnout will be an important factor in November. "Polls are not very good at determining who will and will not vote," he said. "A higher turnout will probably help Obama more than McCain. Another factor will be whether the Latino vote turns out in significant numbers."
The Arizona Democratic Party was quick to pounce on the figures. "
This poll just confirms what Arizonans have known for a while: John McCain is out-of-state, out-of-bounds and out-of-touch with Arizona voters," said Maria Weeg, executive director of the Arizona Democratic Party. "He's been running for President for so long that 60 percent of Arizonans aren't voting for him."
However, the poll contained bad news for the Democrat in the race as well. Again according to the Capitol Times:
"Anti-Obama sentiment also was stronger than anti-McCain sentiment, with 30 percent of McCain supporters and 16 percent of Obama supporters stating that they were voting against the candidate's opponent rather than for the candidate himself."
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All this shows
All this shows is that McCain has even less support in AZ than 40%! If 30% of McCain's support is anti-Obama that means he is polling really at 28% in his HOME state!
So many Republicans are just voting for him because they feel they have no choice...
Maybe he should trying being a real Conservative and actually showing up for some votes....
Maybe its time to vote for Bob Barr!
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